NICK'S OFFICIAL SUPER BOWL PROPOSITION BET FORECAST!!!!!!!!!
This is all the stuff that Vegas doesn't want you to bet, because they know they're gonna lose. Every year, millions (?) are made on punts, penalties, and pushovers. Point spreads and covers are a thing of the past. Yes, folks, that's where the smart bookmakers know to get your money. Because we did such a dynamic job last year of picking the things that don't matter. We're going to do it again, because Caputo's Corner cares about its viewing public. If groundhogs can predict the weather (early Spring baby!!!), bloggers can ponder the number of times Troy Polamalu gets his hair pulled.
NEW FOR 2011!!! READER SUBMISSIONS!!!
Now is YOUR chance to join in the fun that is the Super Bowl Prop Bet Forecast. If you have an idea for a great prop, please please please please add it into the comments section. I look foward to reading (and betting?) all of your outstanding props.
Alright, enough advertising and more prognosticating. The books are open and the ball is on the tee (or something like that. We now begin the official prop bet forecast for Super Bowl XLV!!!
DISCLAIMER: Caputo's Corner assumes no liability for any damages assumed due to using said blog's picks for gambling purposes.
PREGAME:
Total time Terry Bradshaw is caught laughing (at anything for any reason): 1:05.8 seconds (+/- 2 seconds)
Total on-air time of Michael Strahan's gap tooth: 2:01.1 seconds (+/- 2 seconds)
National Anthem time (**note that this is timed from the beginning of the O! to the end of the final bravveeeeeeeeeeeee**..........Oh and by the way...I NAILED this one last year): 1:53.6 seconds (+/- 2 seconds)
Number of aircraft in flyover: 4
Flags in color guard: 6
Coin Toss: Tails (never fails)
Player to call coin toss (for Pittsburgh as "visiting team"): Hines Ward
Team to win coin toss: Green Bay
FIRSTS:
First scrimmage play-run or pass: Pass
First Packer to touch football on a scrimmage play (besides center and quarterback): Donald Driver
First touchdown scored by: Brandon Jackson (for Green Bay)
Yardage of first touchdown to be scored: 2 yards
First punt: Daniel Sepulveda
First field goal: Mason Crosby
Yardage of first field goal: 35
First penalty: Chad Clifton (a false start)
First Steeler to touch football on a scrimmage play (besides center and quarterback): Rashard Mendenhall
First Packer to record a tackle: Clay Matthews
First Steeler to record a tackle: Ryan Clark
First team to record a takeaway: Steelers
First coach to be caught muttering an obscenity in the headset: Mike McCarthy
First celebrity to appear in a Super Bowl ad: Danica Patrick
TOTALS:
Total number of penalty flags: 9 (5 on Green Bay 4 on Pittsburgh)
Total number of touchdowns: 7
Total number of plays in the game: 146
Total number of earned first downs: 32
Total number of times Troy Polamalu's hair is pulled: 1
Total number of in-your-face confrontations (you know it when you see it): 3
Total number of football's to hit JerryWorld's massive midfield JumboTron: 1 (You know SOMEBODY'S gonna try it!)
Total turnovers: 5 (3 interceptions, 1 lost fumble, and 1 muffed punt)
Total number of punts: 6 (Pittsburgh 3 Green Bay 3)
Hangtime of the longest punt to stay in the air (and not touch the scoreboard): 5.7 seconds
Total number of unreturned punts (i.e. fair caught, touchback, out of bounds or touched down by kicking team-does not include muffs): 4
Total number of Jerry Jones on camera sightings: 5
Will Jerry Jones come onto the field at any point during the game?: Yes
Total times somebody loses their helmet: 2
Total number of times you see a game official toss his hat (for any reason): 2
Total number of cuts to a sideline reporter (for whatever reason): 16
Total number of times Joe Buck tells audience to cover their eyes and hide their kids: 1
Total number of Joe Buck references to the expiring CBA: 4
Total number of Roger Goodell on-camera sightings (excluding post game ceremony): 5
Total number of fans to streak on the field (not necessarily plugging GoldenPalace.com): 1
Total number of references to the NFL draft and/or potential draftees: 8
Total number of references to John Madden by the broadcast crew: 1
Total number of references to Brett Favre during the game by the broadcast crew: 4
Total number of references to either Peyton Manning or Tom Brady by the broadcast crew: 3
Total number of Randy Moss full moons: 0
Total number of times Troy Aikman recalls a story of him in the Super Bowl: 3
Total number of coaches to get dunked with Gatorade: 2 (some coordinator's gonna get it)
Total number of safeties: 0
Total field goals: 2
Total point value (in Scrabble points) of the last name first player to score a touchdown in the game: 20 (see above--thanks to AK for this one)
Total number of Bud Light ads during the game: 6 (4 in the first half, 2 in the second half)
Missed PATs: 0
Number of successful 2-point conversions: 0
Missed field goals: 0
Defensive/Special teams touchdowns: 0 (I think this game is going to be a tad more offensive than most people think)
Total combined quarterback rating between Roethlisberger and Rodgers: 195
Total number of references made by Joe Buck to the Roethlisberger rape case: 2
Total points: 55
FINALS/POSTGAME:
Final play: Incomplete pass
Time when game clock officially hits 0:00: 10:02 PM
Time when FOX signs off off post game show and goes to alternative programming: 10:29
Number of players/coaches on winning team to do an interview: 3
Squares winners (without considering team...don't want to tip anybody off)
-->First Quarter 7-0
-->Second Quarter 7-4
-->Third Quarter 4-1
-->Fourth Quarter 1-4
Final score: 31-24
Winner: NOT SO FAST MY FRIEND!
MVP's position: Quarterback
There you have it, everyone. Don't forget that if you have your own prop bet you would like to submit for the list, please add it in the comments section.
You will never come close to that nailing of the Anthem last year ever again! And to think it was in my live blog - so I *do* have a record of it lol.
ReplyDeleteToo many prop bets here....makes my head spin!
I will take your bet on first punt because Sepulveda is on IR :p
ReplyDeleteBut in all seriousness, cool post! Are you going to keep track and post your results next week?
Thanks, Kristen. Sepulveda's on IR? When did that happen? I did see him punt in the AFC title game yes? Or was I dreaming that?
ReplyDeleteGeez, I don't really think I can keep track of all of these. I would need to watch the game at least 30 times before I could check on half of them. The anthem is easy to check as well as all of the firsts, and I can check the statistical totals in the box score after the game ends. But with the props dealing with the TV crew...I don't even think we're gonna watch it with the sound on to be totally honest :-).
No he went on IR in early Dec., after the Ravens game. I think it was a torn ACL. You saw the magnificent punting of Kapinos ;)
ReplyDeleteEnjoy the game! It's certainly less stressful when your team's not playing ;)
I will enjoy the game. I'm sure if my team were in it I would not feel like doing prop bet forecasts and commercial countdowns, haha.
ReplyDeleteHave fun tomorrow, but don't forget that it's a school night :-)